Fakahinohino Sitepu · Fakahinohino sitepu · miniti ʻe 7

Fakahinohino Sitepu: Oscar’s Grind

Hiki ʻaki ha iuniti ʻe taha hili ha ikuna, peti tatau hili ha mole, taʻofi ʻa e takai ʻi he tupu ʻo e iuniti ʻe taha. Ko e sisitemi māmālie taha ʻoku ʻi ai, ʻi ha vilo ʻe teau.

Tali nounou

Ko ha taimi vaʻinga faʻifaʻitaki Oscar’s Grind ʻo e vilo ʻe 100 ʻi he $10 ki he iuniti ki he ʻuliʻulipetiʻUliʻuliPeti totongi tatau ki he fika ʻuliʻuli ʻe 18. Faka-Falanisē: noir.Lau kotoa →. Takai ʻe valu naʻe tāpuni ʻaki ʻa e +$10 taki taha, ko e taha ai hili ha vilo ʻe 41, ha peti ʻo e $50 mo ha holo ʻa e paʻanga ʻo e $230; naʻe kei ava ʻa e takai hono hiva ʻi he −$140 ʻi he ʻosi ʻa e taimi vaʻinga. Ola kakato −$60. Vēliani siʻi, ʻikai ha tō, tuʻunga lelei ʻo e kasino tatau.

iuniti
$10 ki he ʻuliʻuli
lao
iuniti ʻe +1 hili ha ikuna, tauhi hili ha mole
taumuʻa ʻo e takai
iuniti ʻe +1
ola
−$60 ʻi he vilo ʻe 100

ʻAlu ʻi he sisitemi

Ko ha mole ʻoku tauhi ai ʻa e peti. Ko ha ikuna ʻoku tānaki ai ha iuniti ʻe taha, ka ʻoku ʻikai laka ʻi he meʻa ʻoku fiemaʻu ʻe he takai ke aʻu ki he +1. ʻI he +1 ʻoku kamata ha takai foʻou.

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peti hoko1takai ni0ola ki he taimi ni0ngaahi vilo0

ʻOku fua ʻa e ngaahi peti mo e ola ʻaki ʻa e iuniti ʻo e peti tefito.

Ko e palani

Peti ʻaki ha iunitipaʻangaIunitiKo e peti tefito ʻoku ngāueʻaki ʻe ha sisitemi pe ha tokotaha vaʻinga. ʻOku fakamatalaʻi ʻa e ngaahi fakalakalaka peti ʻaki ʻa e iuniti koeʻuhi ke ngāue ʻi ha tēpile pē.Lau kotoa → ʻe taha. Hili ha mole, toe peti tatau pē. Hili ha ikuna, hiki ʻaki ha iuniti ʻe taha, tuku kehe kapau ʻe ʻave ʻe he hiki ʻa e takai ʻo laka ʻi he iuniti ʻe +1, pea ʻi he meʻa ko ia peti pē ʻaki ʻa e meʻa ʻoku fiemaʻu ke ʻosi ʻi he +1 tofu pē. ʻI he taimi ʻoku tupu ai ʻa e takai ʻaki ha iuniti ʻe taha, toe kamata ʻi he iuniti ʻe taha. ʻOku hiki pē ʻa e lahi ʻo e peti ʻi he ngaahi ikuna, ko ia ʻoku ʻikai ʻaupito fakalahi ia ʻe ha hokohoko mole; ko e ngāue fakamāmālie ʻoku tupu ia mei hono fiemaʻu ha hokohoko ikuna ke kaka hake mei ha luo naʻe keli ʻi ha peti siʻi.

Ngalingali ʻo e Ngaahi Hokohoko ʻi he Lulēti

Vilo 1–30

Takai ʻe fā naʻe tāpuni. Ko e lōloa taha naʻe vilo ʻe hongofulu-mā-taha: M M M (−$30 ʻi he $10), I (−$20, peti ki he $20), M M (−$60), I (−$40, peti ki he $30), I (−$10; ko ha hiki ki he $40 ʻe laka ia, ko ia peti ʻaki ʻa e $20), M (−$30), I (−$10), I: takai ʻi he +$10, tāpuni. Ola kakato hili ʻa e vilo ʻe 30 +$40. Naʻe ʻikai ʻaupito laka ʻa e ngaahi peti ʻi he $30. Ko e sisitemi taʻefakaʻofoʻofa taha ia ʻi he uepisaiti, ʻa ia ko ha fakamālō.

takaingaahi vilopeti lahi tahaholo ʻa e paʻangaola kakato
13$20−$10+$10
211$30−$60+$10
35$20−$20+$10
411$30−$50+$10
hili ʻa e 30takai ʻe 4+$40

Vilo 31–71

Ko e takai lōloa. Ko e mole ʻe valu ʻi he ʻuluaki vilo ʻe hongofulu naʻa nau keli ʻa e −$50. Naʻe hiki ʻe he ngaahi ikuna ʻa e lahi ʻo e peti ki he $20, $30, $40, $50; naʻe keli ʻe he ngaahi mole ʻi he ngaahi peti ko ia ke loloto ange, ki he −$230 ʻi he vilo 52. Mei ai ha konga faingamālie, ikuna ʻe hongofulu-mā-taha ʻi he vilo ʻe hongofulu-mā-ono ʻi he ngaahi peti ʻo e $40–$50, naʻe kaka ki mui, pea naʻe tāpuni ʻa e takai ʻi he vilo 71 ʻaki ʻa e +$10. Vilo ʻe fāngofulu-mā-taha, ko e $230 naʻe fakatuʻutāmakiʻi ʻi he tuʻunga kovi taha, iuniti ʻe taha naʻe maʻu.

Ko e taimi vaʻinga ko ʻeni mo e hiva ʻoku tatau mo iaola ʻo fakahoa ki he kamataʻanga
+$1,110$0−$1,000+$890−$5000125250375500ngaahi viloola
taimi vaʻinga ʻe 1,000 × vilo ʻe 500 · vaioleti p10/p25/p75/p90, pulū maama fika lotoloto (median), sīpinga vaivai ʻe 83 · ʻave ki he kalafi ke sio ki he ngaahi kuanitaila ʻi ha vilo
  • p10 −$1,000
  • p25 −$1,000
  • fika lotoloto (median) −$1,000
  • p75 +$710
  • p90 +$880
taimi vaʻinga ʻe 1,000 × vilo ʻe 500 · kuo kosi ʻa e ʻakisi-y ki he pēsenitaila 1–99 (ngaahi ngataʻanga −$1,000 ki he +$1,280) · vilo ʻe 500 · tefito $10 · totongi tatau
Tokalelei ʻi ha ngaahi konga lōloa, ngaahi sitepu siʻisiʻi ki ʻolunga, mo e ngaahi luo loloto ʻi he taimi ʻe niʻihi ʻoku kaka māmālie mei ai. Ko e hifo ʻo e ʻavalisi ko e meʻa angamaheni pē.
Vilo ʻe fāngofulu-mā-taha mo e mole ʻo e $230 ʻi he tuʻunga kovi taha, ke ʻosi ʻi he tupu ʻo e iuniti ʻe taha.

Vilo 72–100

Takai ʻe tolu ʻe taha naʻe tāpuni, pea liʻaki ʻa e taha ʻi he vilo 100 ʻoku tuʻu ʻi he −$140 mo ha peti ʻo e $30. Ola fakaʻosi −$60: takai ʻe valu ʻi he +$10 mo ha takai ava ʻe taha ʻi he −$140 (ko e takai ava ko e founga angamaheni ia ʻoku ʻosi ai ha taimi vaʻinga Oscar, koeʻuhi ʻoku lōloa ʻa e ngaahi takai).

Ko e ngaahi fakamatala paʻanga

Ko e ʻavalisi ʻo e lahi ʻo e peti ko e $22 nai, fakakātoa ʻo e peti ko e $2,200 nai ʻo fehoanaki mo e $1,000 ʻi he peti tatau. Mole ʻamanekinamatematikaMole ʻamanekinaKo e mahuʻinga ʻamanekina liunga ʻaki ʻa e fakakātoa ʻo e paʻanga naʻe peti ʻaki; ko e ʻavalisi ʻo e paʻanga ʻoku mole ʻi ha taimi vaʻinga pe ha vahaʻa taimi.Lau kotoa → $59; ola moʻoni −$60. Ko ha taimi vaʻinga ʻoku tō ki hono ʻamanekina, ʻa ia ʻoku faʻa hoko ʻi he Oscar’s Grind ʻo lahi ange ʻi he ngaahi sisitemi kehe koeʻuhi ʻoku siʻi hono vēlianimatematikaVēlianiKo ha fua ʻo hono mafola ʻo e ngaahi ola takatakai ʻi he mahuʻinga ʻamanekina. Māʻolunga ki he peti fika ʻe taha, māʻulalo ki he ngaahi peti totongi tatau.Lau kotoa →: ʻoku tupu pē ʻa e lahi ʻo e peti ʻi he taimi ʻoku mau ikuna ai, pea ʻoku ʻikai ʻaupito fakaua.

Ko e meʻa ʻoku fakahā ʻe he taimi vaʻinga

Ko e Oscar’s Grind ko ha sisitemi naʻe fokotuʻutuʻu ʻe ha taha naʻa ne mahinoʻi ʻa e ngaahi sisitemi kehe. ʻOku ʻikai ha tō, ʻoku kei siʻi ʻa e lahi ʻo e peti, pea ʻoku ne fakatupu ha ngaahi hokohoko lōloa ʻo e ngaahi ikuna siʻisiʻi. Ko e fakamole ko e taimi: ʻe lava ke lele ha takai ʻi ha vilo ʻe fāngofulu, pea ko e tupu ʻo e iuniti ʻe taha ʻi he ngataʻanga kuo fakatau ia ʻaki ha holo ʻa e paʻangapaʻangaHolo ʻa e paʻangaKo e holo mei he tumutumu ʻo e paʻanga vaʻinga ki ha tuʻunga māʻulalo kimui ange ʻi ha taimi vaʻinga. Ko e holo lahi taha ko e holo pehē ʻoku lahi taha.Lau kotoa → ʻoku liunga uofulu hono lahi. Ko e mole ʻamanekina ki he tola naʻe peti ko e 2.70%, pea ʻoku tānaki ʻe he ngāue fakamāmālie ha ngaahi tola.

Ngaahi fehuʻi

Ko hai ʻa Oscar?

Ko ha tokotaha vaʻinga craps naʻe fakamatalaʻi ʻe Allan Wilson ʻi he The Casino Gambler’s Guide (1965). ʻOku motuʻa ange ʻa e sisitemi ʻi he hingoa.

ʻOku lelei ʻa e vēliani siʻi?

ʻOku ʻuhinga ia ʻe ofi hoʻo ola ki he ʻamanekina. ʻOku ʻi lalo ʻi he noa ʻa e ʻamanekina. ʻOku lelei ʻa e vēliani siʻi kapau ʻoku ke fie maʻu ha fakamole ʻe lava ʻo tala kimuʻa ki ha efiafi pea kovi kapau ʻoku ke fie maʻu ha faingamālie ki ha ikuna lahi.

Ko e hā ʻoku ne fakaʻosi ha takai ʻoku ʻikai tāpuni?

Ko hoʻo paʻanga vaʻingapaʻangaPaʻanga vaʻingaKo e fakakātoa ʻo e paʻanga kuo vahe ke vaʻinga ʻaki. Ko e puleʻi ʻo e paʻanga vaʻinga ko e fili pe ko e hā hono lahi ʻoku tuku ki he fakatuʻutāmaki ʻi he peti takitaha mo e taimi vaʻinga takitaha.Lau kotoa → pe ko hoʻo kātaki. ʻOku ʻikai ha lao taʻofi ʻi he sisitemi; kuo pau ke ʻomai ia ʻe he tokotaha vaʻinga.

Meʻa fakaoli

Ko e founga māmālie taha ke mole ai ʻa e 2.70%. Ko e founga nonga taha foki.

Ko e founga māmālie taha ke mole ai ʻa e 2.70%. Ko e founga nonga taha foki.

Ngaahi Maʻuʻanga

  1. Wilson, A. The Casino Gambler’s Guide. Harper & Row, 1965.
  2. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Vahe 13, lulēti.
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