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Mahinoʻi ʻa e lulēti. ʻIkai ko e feituʻu pē ke tuku ai ʻa e sipi.

Ako ʻa e ngaahi lao, tuku ha ngaahi peti ako siʻi, pea siviʻi ʻa e ngaahi founga. ʻOku fakahā ʻe homau ngaahi meʻangāue mo e faʻifaʻitaki ʻa e founga ngāue ʻa e lulēti, vilo ki he vilo.

luo ʻe 37 ʻi he hokohoko ʻo e veʻeteka, 0 ʻuluaki · kulokula 18 · ʻuliʻuli 18 · lanu mata 1
ʻOku ʻikai ha peti kuo fili
ngaahi luo37 (0–36)
tuʻunga lelei ʻo e kasino2.70% ʻi he peti kotoa pē
noataha, lanu mata
fakahinohinotuhu ki ha luo · lomiʻi ʻa e tēpile
01 · Lulēti ʻi he miniti ʻe 5

Takai ʻe taha, mei he kamata ki he ngata

Lau ʻa e lēsoni kakato →
01
Tuku ʻa e sipi
Tuku ʻa e ngaahi sipi ʻi he ngaahi fika pe ʻi he ngaahi puha ʻoku takatakai ai. ʻE lava ke ke tuku ha ngaahi peti lahi ʻi he taimi tatau.
02
Lī ʻa e pulu
ʻOku vilo ʻe he tīla ʻa e veʻeteka ki ha tafaʻaki ʻe taha pea fekau ʻa e pulu ke takai ʻi he kapa ki he tafaʻaki ʻe taha.
03
ʻOsi ʻa e peti
ʻOku kalokalo ʻe he tīla hono nima ʻi ʻolunga ʻi he palani ʻo e tēpile. ʻOku ʻikai toe lava ke hiki ʻa e ngaahi sipi.
04
Tō ʻa e pulu
ʻOku nofo ʻa e pulu ʻi ha taha ʻo e luo ʻe 37. ʻOku fakaʻilongaʻi ʻe he tīla ʻa e fika naʻe tō ʻi he tēpile.
05
Totongi
ʻOku ʻuluaki toʻo ʻa e ngaahi sipi naʻe mole, pea toki totongi ʻa e ngaahi peti naʻe ikuna ʻi he faingamālie paʻu ʻo e peti.
02 · Mahinoʻi ʻa e tēpile

Fika tatau, kaungāʻapi kehe

Lomiʻi ha ngaahi fika ke tuku ha sipi peti fika ʻe taha, pe ha puha ʻi tuʻa ke kāpui ha kulupu. ʻOku fakamamafaʻi ʻe he veʻeteka ʻi ʻolunga ʻa e ngaahi luo tatau, ko ia te ke sio ai ʻoku ʻikai ko e kaungāʻapi ʻi he tēpile ko e kaungāʻapi ʻi he veʻeteka.

Meʻa langa peti · $10 ki he fika takitaha
ngaahi luo37 (0–36)
tuʻunga lelei ʻo e kasino2.70% ʻi he peti kotoa pē
noataha, lanu mata
fakahinohinotuhu ki ha luo · lomiʻi ʻa e tēpile
03 · Ngaahi faʻahinga peti tefito

Siʻi ange ʻa e fika, lahi ange ʻa e totongi, tatau pē ʻa e tuʻunga lelei

totongi = 36/n − 1 · tuʻunga lelei = 1/37
04 · Ngalingali mo e tuʻunga lelei ʻo e kasino

ʻOku haʻu mei fē ʻa e tuʻunga lelei ʻo e kasino ʻo e 2.70%

Tali nounou
ʻOku ʻi ai ʻa e tuʻunga lelei ʻo e kasino ʻo e 2.70% ʻi he lulēti ʻIulope ʻi he peti angamaheni kotoa.
Ko e hā
ʻOku totongi ʻe he kasino ha ikuna ʻi ha peti fika ʻe taha ʻi he 35:1 neongo ʻoku ʻi ai ʻa e ola ʻe 37 ʻe lava ke hoko. Ko e faingamālie faitotonu ʻe 36:1. Ko e iuniti ʻe taha ʻoku masiva, kuo vahevahe ki he ola ʻe 37, ko e tuʻunga lelei ia.
Fomula
EV = (1/37)·(+35) + (36/37)·(−1)
   = 35/37 − 36/37
   = −1/37 ≈ −0.0270
Matematika kotoa →
Peti tatau, veʻeteka ʻe tolu
ʻIulope
luo ʻe 37 · noa ʻe 1
2.70%
ʻAmelika
luo ʻe 38 · 0 mo e 00
5.26%
Falanisē
luo ʻe 37 · la partage
1.35%
ʻOku vaheua ʻe he ngaahi lao Falanisē ʻa e tuʻunga lelei ʻi he ngaahi peti totongi tatau pē: ʻo ka tō ʻa e noa, ʻoku fakafoki ʻe he la partage ʻa e vaheua ʻo e peti pea ʻoku taʻofi ia ʻe he en prison ki ha vilo ʻe taha. ʻOku fakatefito ʻa e meʻa kotoa ʻi he uepisaiti ni ʻi he veʻeteka ʻIulope tukukehe kapau ʻoku tala.
05 · Founga

Ko e hā ʻoku fai moʻoni ʻe he ngaahi sisitemi peti

ʻI he Martingale, ʻoku ke fakaua hoʻo peti hili ʻa e mole taki taha. ʻE lava ke fakatahataha ʻa e ngaahi ikuna siʻisiʻi, pea ʻe lava ke holoki kotoa ia ʻe ha hokohoko ʻo e mole. ʻOku kei tuʻu ʻa e mole ʻamanekina ʻi he 2.70% ki he tola taki taha naʻe peti.

mole #peti hokokātoa naʻe petip(aʻu)
0$10$10100.00%
1$20$3051.35%
2$40$7026.37%
3$80$15013.54%
4$160$3106.95%
5$320$6303.57%
6$640$1,2701.83%
7$1,280$2,5500.94%
Peti tefito $10, fakangatangata ʻo e tēpile $500. Hili ha mole ʻe ono ko e peti hoko ko e $640, ʻoku māʻolunga ange ʻi he fakangatangata: ʻoku maumau ʻa e fakalakalaka peti pea mole ai ʻa e $630. Ko e ngalingali ʻo ha mole hokohoko ʻe ono ʻi he kulokula ko e (19/37)^6 = 1.83%, ʻo meimei tuʻo taha ʻi he feinga ʻe 55.
Martingale mo e peti tatau · taimi vaʻinga ʻe taha mo e seedvilo ʻe 150 · kulokula · ngata: mart +$680 · tatau −$120
+$690−$260
06 · Lēpi Lulēti

ʻOku faʻa longoaʻa pē ʻa e ngaahi fika vela

ʻOku faʻa ngaohi maʻu pē ʻe ha veʻeteka faitotonu ha ngaahi sīpinga taʻetatau. ʻOku kau ʻi he Lēpi ʻa e fisiki ʻo e veʻeteka mo e pulu, ʻiloʻi ʻo e hehema, lahi ʻo e sīpinga mo e sitetisitika ʻoku fiemaʻu ke ʻiloʻi ai ha maumau moʻoni mei ha hokohoko monūʻia.

ngaahi vilo370
luo vela taha20 · tō ʻe 16 (ʻamanekina 10)
chi-square (df 36)32.8
mahuʻinga p0.62
tuʻutuʻuniʻikai ha fakamoʻoni ʻo e hehema
Hū ki he Lēpi →
Ngaahi tō naʻe sio ki ai ʻi he luo taki taha · hokohoko ʻo e veʻetekaʻamanekina ʻe 10 taki taha
Sīpinga ʻo ha veʻeteka faitotonu mo e seed. ʻOku hangē ʻa e puha ʻuliʻuli taha ko ha “fika vela”; ʻoku pehē ʻe he sivi chi-square ʻoku angamaheni pē ʻa e sīpinga kotoa.
07 · Ngaahi meʻangāue fetuʻutaki

Lau pē ʻe koe ʻa e ngaahi fika

Ngaahi meʻangāue kotoa →
08 · Lulēti hangatonu

Ko ha veʻeteka moʻoni, ha kāmela, mo ha taimi peti

ʻOku ʻave hangatonu ʻe ha tēpile hangatonu ha veʻeteka fakatuʻasino mei ha sitiutio. ʻOku lau ʻa e ola ʻe ha tīla mo ha ʻiloʻi ʻaki ʻa e kāmela, pea ʻave leva ki he sikilini ʻa e tokotaha vaʻinga kotoa. Ko e ngaahi faingamālie ko e ngaahi faingamālie ʻIulope; ko e meʻa ʻoku liliu ko e vave, ko e tuai ʻo e vitiō mo e taimi peti.

Founga ngāue ʻa e lulēti hangatonu →
00:00
Veʻeteka ʻo e sitiutio
Ko ha veʻeteka fakatuʻasino, faʻa 80 cm, ʻoku vilo ʻe ha tīla
fakatuʻasino
00:00
Ngaahi kāmela mo e faʻu vitiō
Vitiō mei ha ngaahi tafaʻaki lahi, ʻoku ʻave hangatonu ki hoʻo sikilini
~1–3 s
00:20
Taimi peti
ʻOku ava hili ʻa e totongi kimuʻa, pea tāpuni ʻi he “ʻosi ʻa e peti”
15–30 s
00:45
ʻIloʻi ʻo e ola
ʻOku fakapapauʻi ʻe he tīla; ʻoku lau ʻe he ʻiloʻi fakaʻata ʻa e luo
< 1 s
00:50
Totongi
ʻOku totongi ʻe he sēvea ʻa e ngaahi peti, ʻoku fakahā ʻe he vitiō ʻa e māka
fakaʻotometiki
09 · Hisitōlia mo e anga fakafonua

Mei he fale ngāue ʻo Pascal ki Monte Carlo

Hisitōlia kakato →
1655Veʻeteka ʻo PascalʻOku sivi ʻe Blaise Pascal ha mīsini ʻoku ngaue taʻengata; ʻoku moʻui fuoloa ange ʻa e veʻeteka vilo ʻi he fakakaukau.
1796PalisiʻOku fakamatalaʻi ʻe ha tohi talanoa ʻa e lulēti mo e 0 mo e 00 ʻi ha fale vaʻinga ʻi Palais-Royal.
1843Bad HomburgʻOku fakahū ʻe François mo Louis Blanc ʻa e veʻeteka noa ʻe taha ke fakasiʻisiʻi ʻa e ngaahi kasino fakafepaki.
1863Monte CarloʻOku puleʻi ʻe Blanc ʻa e kasino ʻi Monaco; ʻoku hoko ʻa e noa ʻe taha ko e tuʻunga angamaheni ʻo ʻIulope.
meimei 1880Veʻeteka ʻo JaggerʻOku siofi ʻe Joseph Jagger ʻa e ngaahi veʻeteka ʻi ha ngaahi uike pea ngāueʻaki ha veʻeteka hehema ʻi Monte Carlo.
1891Charles WellsʻOku “maumauʻi ʻe Wells ʻa e pangikē” ʻo tuʻo lahi; ʻoku hoko ʻa e meʻa ko ia ko ha hiva ʻi he ngaahi fale fakafiefia.
10 · Vakaiʻi ʻa e tānakiʻanga ʻiloʻi

Peesi ʻe 236, taha ki he fakakaukau taki taha