Tēpile ʻo e Faingamālie mo e Ngalingali ʻi he Lulēti
Ko e peti angamaheni kotoa pē mo hono ngalingali, totongi, mahuʻinga ʻamanekinamatematikaMahuʻinga ʻamanekinaKo e ola ʻavalisi ʻi he peti takitaha ʻi he taimi lōloa. −1/37 ʻo e peti ki he peti ʻIulope angamaheni kotoa pē.Lau kotoa → mo e mavahe fakasitanate.
ʻOku tatau pē ʻa e mahuʻinga ʻamanekina ʻo e ngaahi peti kotoa, ko e −2.70% ʻo e peti. ʻOku nau kehekehe pē ʻi he ngalingali mo e movetevete.
Founga hono lau ʻo e tēpile faingamālie lulēti ko ʻeni
ʻOku fakahā atu ʻe he ngalingalimatematikaNgalingaliKo e faingamālie ʻo ha ola, mei he 0 ki he 1 pe 0% ki he 100%. Fika ʻe taha: 1/37 = 2.70%.Lau kotoa → pe ʻoku faʻa fiha hoʻo ikuna; ʻoku fakahā atu ʻe he totongipaʻangaTotongiKo e meʻa ʻoku fakafoki ʻe ha peti ikuna, ʻoku fakahā ko e “X ki he 1” ʻi ʻolunga ʻi he peti ʻoku fakafoki.Lau kotoa →, ʻa ia ʻoku ui ko e faingamālie ʻo e lulēti, pe ʻoku fiha; pea ʻoku fakahā atu ʻe he σ pe ʻoku fēfē hono taʻemaau ʻo e fononga. ʻOku tatau pē ʻa e kōlomu EV ʻi he laine kotoa pē ʻi hono ngaohi, ko ia ko e tēpile ni ko ha lisi moʻoni ia ʻo e ngaahi vēlianimatematikaVēlianiKo ha fua ʻo hono mafola ʻo e ngaahi ola takatakai ʻi he mahuʻinga ʻamanekina. Māʻolunga ki he peti fika ʻe taha, māʻulalo ki he ngaahi peti totongi tatau.Lau kotoa → ʻi ha totongi paʻu.
Ngaahi peti ui
Ko e ngaahi peti kongaveʻetekaKongaKo ha konga fakavilo hokohoko ʻo e ngaahi luo ʻi he veʻeteka, ʻoku kehe ia mei ha kulupu ʻi he palani ʻo e tēpile.Lau kotoa → ko e fakatahaʻi ia ʻo e ngaahi peti angamaheni pea ʻoku nau maʻu honau tuʻunga lelei. ʻOku taki taha maʻu hono sīpinga totongi pē ʻoʻona koeʻuhí ʻoku ʻikai tufaki tatau ʻa e ngaahi sipipaʻangaSipiKo ha fakaʻilonga ʻoku fakafofongaʻi ha paʻanga paʻu, ʻoku tuku ki he palani ʻo e tēpile ke fai ʻaki ha peti. ʻOku toe ui: check.Lau kotoa →.
ʻI ha ngaahi vilo
Ko e ngalingali ke tau ʻo siʻi taha ʻi he tuʻo taha ʻi ha vilo ʻe k, ki ha ngaahi fehuʻi angamaheni siʻi.
Movetevete ʻo e taimi vaʻinga
Ko e mavahe fakasitanatematematikaMavahe fakasitanateAka ua ʻo e vēliani; ko e mamaʻo angamaheni ʻo ha ola mei he mahuʻinga ʻamanekina.Lau kotoa → ʻo ha taimi vaʻinga ʻo e vilo ʻe 100 ʻi he peti tatau ʻo e $10, ʻo fakatatau ki he peti, mo e ola ʻamanekina tatau ʻo e −$27.
Ngaahi fehuʻi
Koeʻuhí ko e totongi kotoa pē ko e 36/n − 1 fakatatau ki he totongi faitotonu ʻo e 37/n − 1. Vakai ki he peesi tuʻunga lelei ʻo e kasinomatematikaTuʻunga lelei ʻo e kasinoKo e konga ʻo e peti takitaha ʻoku tauhi ʻe he kasino ʻi he ʻavalisi: 2.70% ʻi he lulēti ʻIulope.Lau kotoa →.
Ko e ngaahi peti totongi tataupetiPeti totongi tatauKulokula/ʻuliʻuli, taʻehoa/hoa, māʻolunga/māʻulalo. Fika ʻe 18, totongi ʻo e 1:1.Lau kotoa → ʻi ha tēpile Falanisē: ʻoku ʻikai liliu ʻa e p mo e totongi, EV −1.35%, σ ≈ 0.99.
Vahevahe ʻaki ʻa e 38 ʻo ʻikai ko e 37, pea ʻe hoko ʻa e kōlomu EV ko e −5.26% ʻi he laine kotoa pē, mo e −7.89% ki he peti fika ʻe nima.
Meʻa fakaoli
Peti ʻe hiva, mahuʻinga ʻamanekina ʻe taha, ʻikai ha manatu.
Ngaahi Maʻuʻanga
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.