Lēpi Lulēti · Lēpi · Founga · miniti ʻe 7

Lau ʻo e Ngaahi Hisitōlia Vilo kuo Pulusi

ʻOku pulusi ʻe ha kau fakalele hangatonu tokolahi ʻa e hisitōlia kakato ʻo e ngaahi vilo. Ko e founga ʻeni ke lau, fakamaʻa ia, pea ko e hā ʻe lava pea ʻikai lava ke ne tala atu.

Tali nounou

Ko ha hisitōlia vilo ko ha lisi ia ʻo e ngaahi ola mo honau taimi, faʻa ʻi he tēpile taki taha. Ko e meʻa ia ki he vakaiʻi ʻo e hehema kapau, pea kapau pē, ʻoku ne fakahā ha ʻulu ʻo e veʻetekameʻangāueʻUlu ʻo e veʻetekaʻUhinga tatau mo e konga vilo: ko e konga ʻoku vilo ʻoku ʻi ai ʻa e ngaahi fika.Lau kotoa → pē ʻe taha ʻi ha vahaʻa taimi naʻe ʻikai tokangaʻi ai. ʻOku ʻikai ke fai ia ʻe he lahi taha, pea ʻoku fuʻu nounou ʻa e lahi taha.

lōloa angamaheni kuo pulusi
vilo ʻe 500–10,000
fiemaʻu ki ha sivi ʻaonga
10,000+ mei ha ʻulu ʻe taha
fakamatala mahuʻinga ʻoku masiva
ko e ʻulu ʻo e veʻeteka fē
ʻaonga lelei taha
ako pe ʻoku fēfē ʻa e longoaʻa

Ko e hā ʻoku ʻi ha hisitōlia

Taimi, hingoa ʻo e tēpile, ola (0–36), ʻi he taimi ʻe niʻihi ko e hingoa ʻo e tīla mo e ID ʻo e takai. Ko ha lēkooti ia ʻo e meʻa naʻe hiki ʻe he sēvea ʻo e vaʻinga, ko ia ʻoku totonu. Ko e meʻa ʻoku tātātaha ke ʻi ai ko e ʻilo pe ko e ʻulu fē ʻo e konga vilomeʻangāueKonga viloKo e konga ʻo e veʻeteka ʻoku vilo pea ʻoku ʻi ai ʻa e ngaahi luo.Lau kotoa → fakatuʻasino naʻe ʻi he tēpile ko ia ʻi he taimi ko ia, ʻa ia ko e meʻa ʻoku fiemaʻu ʻe ha vakaiʻi ʻo e hehema, koeʻuhi ʻoku fetongitongi ʻa e ngaahi ʻulu ʻi he vahaʻa ʻo e ngaahi polameʻangāuePolaKo e konga ʻi tuʻa ʻo e veʻeteka ʻoku ʻikai ngaue: ko e kapa papa pe meʻa fakatahaʻi ʻoku ʻi ai ʻa e hala ʻo e pulu mo e konga fakahifo, pea ʻoku vilo ʻi loto ai ʻa e konga vilo.Lau kotoa →.

Fakamaʻa ʻo e fakamatala

Vakaiʻi ʻa e ngaahi vahaʻa (tokangaʻi, tāpuni), ʻa e ngaahi ID ʻo e takai ʻoku tuʻo ua, ʻa e ngaahi ola ʻoku ʻi tuʻa ʻi he 0–36 (00 ʻi ha tēpile ʻAmelika, ngaahi vilo sivi), pea mo e ngaahi liliu ʻi he fetongi ʻo e kau tīla ʻa ia ʻe lava ke fakaʻilongaʻi ai ha fetongi ʻulu. Vahevahe ʻa e fakamatala ki ha ngaahi konga ʻi ha vahaʻa pē ʻoku lōloa ange ʻi ha houa siʻi; fakakaukau ki he ngaahi konga ʻe ala ko ha ngaahi veʻeteka kehekehe. Kapau ko e hingoa ʻo e tēpile pē ʻa e fakaʻilonga, fakakaukau naʻe liliu ʻa e ʻulu ʻo taha ʻi he māhina taki taha ʻo siʻi taha.

vakaiʻiʻuhingameʻa ke fai
ngaahi vahaʻa > houa siʻingalingali naʻe tokangaʻi pe fetongi ʻa e ʻuluvahevahe ki ha ngaahi konga
liliu ʻo e tīlaangamaheni; ʻi he taimi ʻe niʻihi ʻoku hoko fakataha mo ha fetongi ʻuluhiki, ʻoua ʻe vahevahe
ngaahi ola ʻi tuʻa ʻi he 0–36faʻahinga tēpile hala pe fakamatala sivitoʻo
ngaahi takai tuʻo uameʻa naʻe hoko ʻi he hiki fakamatalatoʻo ʻa e tuʻo ua
vahe tonu 48.65 / 48.65 / 2.70haohaoa fakaʻohovalevakaiʻi pe ko ha fakamatala naʻe faʻu
fuʻu siʻi ʻa e vilo ʻi he konga taki taha< 1,000ʻikai lava ke fakalele ʻa e sivi; fakataha pē kapau ʻoku pau ko e ʻulu tatau

Fakalele ʻo e ngaahi sivi

ʻI he konga taki taha: chi-square ʻi he luomeʻangāueLuoKo e taha ʻo e ngaahi luo ʻe 37 ʻoku fakafika ʻi he konga vilo. ʻOku toe ui: slot, cup.Lau kotoa → ʻe 37 (df 36), maaka z ʻo e kongaveʻetekaKongaKo ha konga fakavilo hokohoko ʻo e ngaahi luo ʻi he veʻeteka, ʻoku kehe ia mei ha kulupu ʻi he palani ʻo e tēpile.Lau kotoa → ʻo fakatatau ki he hokohoko ʻi he veʻeteka, mo ha sivi fakapainomiale ki ha luo pē naʻa ke mahalo ki ai kimuʻa pea ke sio. Pea fakafefioʻaki ʻa e ngaahi ola ʻi loto ʻi he konga pea toe fakalele: ko e ngaahi fika fakasitetisitika kuo fakafefioʻaki ko e anga ia ʻo e faitotonu mo e lahi tonu ko ia ʻo e sīpinga, pea kapau ʻoku ʻikai mahino ʻoku ʻi tuʻa hoʻo ngaahi fika moʻoni ʻi he ngaahi fika kuo fakafefioʻaki, kuo ʻikai te ke ʻilo ha meʻa. ʻOku fai ʻeni ʻe he Meʻa Vakaiʻi ʻo e Hehema ʻo e Veʻeteka Lulēti ʻi he palausa.

Ko e meʻa ʻe lava ke ʻilo ʻe ha konga ʻo e vilo ʻe 2,000 (mālohi 80%)tuʻunga tō ki he luo
1/37 (faitotonu)
ʻikai ha meʻa
1/30
≈ 50% ʻo e taimi
1/25
ʻio
1/20
mahino ʻaupito
1/35 (ko e faʻahinga ʻoku totongi)
ʻikai
tuʻunga tō ki he luo
01.50mahino ʻaupito
ʻOku fakahā ʻe he ngaahi laine pe ʻe lava ke ʻilo ʻi ha konga ʻo e vilo ʻe 2,000. Ko ha luo 1/35 ʻoku fiemaʻu ai ʻa e vilo ʻe 70,000 nai. Ko e ngaahi hehema ʻoku maʻu tupu ʻoku siʻi hifo ia ʻi he mahino ʻo ha hisitōlia pē kuo pulusi.

Sivi Chi-SquareVeʻeteka Lulēti

Ko e hā te ke ʻilo

Longoaʻa. Ko e ngaahi fika velatui halaFika velaKo ha fika kuo hū lahi ange ʻi he meʻa naʻe ʻamanekina ʻi he taimi siʻi kuo ʻosi. ʻI ha veʻeteka faitotonu ʻoku ʻikai te ne tala ki muʻa ha meʻa.Lau kotoa → ʻi he tō ʻe 13–15 ʻi he vilo ʻe 300, ngaahi konga ʻi he ±1.5 sikima, ha chi-square ʻi he 36 ± 8 nai. ʻI he taimi ʻe niʻihi ha konga ʻi he p < 0.05, ʻa ia ko e meʻa ʻoku fai ʻe ha konga ʻe taha ʻi he uofulu. Fakakaukau ki ai ko ha ʻuhinga ke sio ki he konga hoko mei he tēpile tatau, pea ʻamanekina ʻe mole atu. ʻI ha hisitōlia ʻe hongofulu mā ua tupu, te ke ako ai pe ʻoku fēfē ʻa e taʻefakataumuʻa ʻi ha lahi ʻo e sīpinga ʻo ha ngaahi afe siʻi, ʻa ia ko e meʻa ʻaonga taha ia ʻe lava ke akoʻi ʻe he Lēpi.

Ko e hā ʻoku ʻaonga ki ai ʻa e ngaahi hisitōlia

Vakaiʻi ʻa e fanongonongo ʻa e tīla ʻo fakahoa ki he lēkooti. Fua ʻa e vave (vilo ʻi he houa) ki he lau ʻo e mole ʻamanekina. Ako ʻa e palopalema ʻo e ʻaho fāʻeleʻimatematikaPalopalema ʻo e ʻaho fāʻeleʻiKo e tokolahi ʻo e kakai ʻoku fiemaʻu kimuʻa pea ngalingali ke tatau ʻa e ʻaho fāʻeleʻi ʻo ha toko ua, pe ko e lahi ʻo e ngaahi vilo kimuʻa pea ngalingali ke toe hū ha fika. ʻI ha veʻeteka luo ʻe 37, ʻoku feʻunga ʻa e vilo ʻe 8 ki ha faingamālie ʻoku lahi ange ʻi he vaeua.Lau kotoa →, ʻa e lōloa ʻo e ngaahi hokohoko mo e tufaki ʻo e fika vela ʻi ha fakamatala moʻoni. Langa ʻa e mahino ʻoku ne fakahaofi ʻa e paʻanga: ko ha sīpinga ʻi he vilo ʻe 500 ʻoku ʻikai ko ha sīpinga. Pea, ʻi he fakakaukau, ko e ʻuluaki peesi ʻo ha tohi hiki ʻo e hehema ʻa ia ʻe taʻeʻaonga ʻi he tokangaʻi onopooni kimuʻa pea fonu.

Ngalingali ʻo e Ngaahi Hokohoko ʻi he LulētiPalopalema: Ko e Veʻeteka ʻAho Fāʻeleʻi

Ngaahi fehuʻi

ʻE lava ke u maʻu ʻa e hisitōlia ʻo ha veʻeteka ʻi he kasino?

Tātātaha. ʻOku fakahā ʻe he ngaahi kasino ʻa e fika ʻe 20 pea tauhi ʻa e toenga ʻi loto.

Ko e hā ʻoku pulusi ai ʻe he kau fakalele ʻa e ngaahi hisitōlia?

Ke mahino, pea koeʻuhi ʻoku kole ʻe he kau vaʻinga. ʻOku ʻikai ha totongi kiate kinautolu ʻi ha veʻeteka ʻoku tokangaʻi.

Ko e sivi fē ʻe ʻuluaki?

Chi-square ki he konga kotoa. Kapau ʻoku ʻikai ha meʻa makehe, taʻofi.

Meʻa fakaoli

ʻOku moʻoni ʻa e fakamatala. Ko e veʻeteka ʻoku ne fakamatalaʻi mahalo ʻoku ʻikai kei ʻi ai.

ʻOku moʻoni ʻa e fakamatala. Ko e veʻeteka ʻoku ne fakamatalaʻi mahalo ʻoku ʻikai kei ʻi ai.

Ngaahi Maʻuʻanga

  1. Pearson, K. “On the criterion that a given system of deviations from the probable…” Philosophical Magazine 50(302), 1900.
  2. Barnhart, R. T. Beating the Wheel. Lyle Stuart, 1992.
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