Ngaahi Founga Peti Lulēti · Fakangāue · miniti ʻe 7

Fakangatangata Mole / Fakangatangata Ikuna

Ko ha lao taʻofi ko e konga pē ia ʻe taha ʻo ha “sisitemi” ʻoku ʻi ai hano ola moʻoni, koeʻuhī ʻoku ne liliu ʻa e lahi ʻo hoʻo peti.

Tali nounou

Ko hono taʻofi vave ʻoku ne holoki ʻa e fakakātoa ʻo e peti pea ko ia mo e mole ʻamanekina. ʻOku ʻikai ke ne fakatupu ha tuʻunga lelei; ko ha fakangatangata ikuna ʻoku ʻikai ke ne “loka” ha meʻa naʻe ʻikai lava ke ʻomi pe toʻo ʻe he vilo hoko.

ola ki he EV / $
ʻikai ha meʻa
ola ki he fakakātoa naʻe peti
lahi
ola ki he vēliani
lahi
ko hai ʻoku fili
ko koe, ki muʻa

Fakangatangata mole

Fokotuʻu ʻa e lahi ʻoku ke loto ke mole pea mavahe ʻo ka ʻosi ia. ʻOku ne fakangatangata ʻa e meʻa kovi taha, fakaʻosi ʻa e taimi vaʻinga ki muʻa pea kamata ʻa e tuli ʻa e mole, pea ʻe lava ke fakakaukau fika ʻa e totongi ʻamanekina ʻo e efiafi: ʻoku ʻikai teitei lahi ange ʻi he fakangatangata molefoungaFakangatangata moleKo ha lahi ʻo e mole kuo fokotuʻu ki muʻa ʻa ia te ke fakaʻosi ai ʻa e taimi vaʻinga.Lau kotoa →, pea ʻoku faʻa siʻi ange. ʻI he ngaahi lao kotoa ʻi he uepisaiti ni, ko e lao ia ʻoku ne liliu falalaʻanga taha ʻa e meʻa ʻoku hoko ki ha tokotaha vaʻinga, koeʻuhī ko e lao pē ia ʻoku ne fakaʻosi falalaʻanga ha taimi vaʻinga.

Fakangatangata ikuna

Fokotuʻu ha taumuʻa pea mavahe ʻo ka ke aʻu ki ai. ʻOku ne ngaohi ke lahi ange ʻa e ngaahi taimi vaʻinga ikuna ka ʻoku siʻi ange. ʻI ha ngaahi taimi vaʻinga lahi ko e ʻavalisi ko e −2.70% pē ʻo e fakakātoa ʻo e petipaʻangaFakakātoa ʻo e petiKo e fakakātoa ʻo e paʻanga naʻe peti ʻaki ʻi ha taimi vaʻinga pe vahaʻa taimi, kau ai ʻa e paʻanga naʻe ikunaʻi kuo toe peti ʻaki. ʻOku toe ui: handle, action.Lau kotoa →; kuo ke vahevahe kehe pē ʻa e taimi ʻoku aʻu mai ai ʻa e ngaahi mole, ʻo ʻikai toʻo ia. Ko e lea “loka ʻa e tupu” ʻoku ne fakamatalaʻi ha ongoʻi. Ko e vilo hoko naʻe pau maʻu pē ke 18/37 neongo pe te ke vaʻinga ia ʻi he pō ni pe ʻi he uike kahaʻu.

$10 ki he kulokula, patiseti $500, vilo lahi taha ʻe 100ʻikai ha taʻofifakangatangata mole $100fakangatangata ikuna $100fakatouʻosi
taimi vaʻinga ʻoku ngata mo e tupu≈ 42%≈ 42%≈ 53%≈ 50%
ola ʻavalisi−$27−$22−$20−$16
5% kovi taha ʻo e ngaahi taimi vaʻinga−$190−$100−$190−$100
5% lelei taha ʻo e ngaahi taimi vaʻinga+$140+$140+$100+$100
ʻavalisi ʻo e ngaahi vilo naʻe vaʻinga100≈ 85≈ 75≈ 60
Faʻifaʻitaki. ʻOku holoki ʻe he ngaahi taʻofi ʻa e mole ʻavalisi ʻaki pē hono holoki ʻo e ngaahi vilo. ʻOku ʻikai liliu ʻa e mole ʻi he vilo takitaha.

Ko ha fakakikihi motuʻa

Kuo fuoloa ʻa e fakakikihi pe ʻoku tokoni ke taʻofi lolotonga ʻoku ke kei tupu. Naʻe tui ʻa e tokotaha poto ʻi he fakakaukau totonu ko John Venn ko ha tokotaha vaʻinga ʻoku ne fili toko taha pē ʻa e taimi ke taʻofi ʻoku ʻiate ia ʻa e tuʻunga lelei, kapau ʻoku taʻefakangatangata ʻa e nō. Naʻe tali ʻe Lord Rayleigh ʻoku mole ʻa e tuʻunga lelei ko ia ʻo ka fakangatangata ʻa e koloa ʻa e ongo faʻahi, pea ʻoku loto tatau ʻa e ngaahi fakamoʻoni matematika ʻo onopooni: ʻoku ʻikai liliu ʻe ha lao ki he taimi ke taʻofi ʻa e ola ʻavalisi ʻi he iunitipaʻangaIunitiKo e peti tefito ʻoku ngāueʻaki ʻe ha sisitemi pe ha tokotaha vaʻinga. ʻOku fakamatalaʻi ʻa e ngaahi fakalakalaka peti ʻaki ʻa e iuniti koeʻuhi ke ngāue ʻi ha tēpile pē.Lau kotoa → takitaha ʻoku peti (Epstein, 2013). ʻOku ʻi ai ha kupuʻi lea Falanisē ki hono mavahe mei he tēpile lolotonga ʻoku ke kei tupu, faire Charlemagne. ʻOku ne fakahingoa ha anga, ʻo ʻikai ko ha tuʻunga lelei.

Naʻe tui ʻa John Venn ko ha tokotaha vaʻinga ʻoku ne fili ʻa e taimi ke taʻofi ʻoku ʻiate ia ʻa e tuʻunga lelei; naʻe tali ʻe Lord Rayleigh ʻoku mole ia ʻo ka fakangatangata ʻa e koloa.

Ko e hā ʻoku lelei ange ai ʻa e ʻavalisi

ʻOku ʻikai koeʻuhī ʻoku maʻu ʻe he taʻofi ha taimi lelei ke mavahe ai. Ka koeʻuhī ko ha taimi vaʻinga ʻoku ngata hili ha vilo ʻe 60 kuo peti ʻa e peti ʻe 60 ʻo ʻikai ko e 100 pea kuo ne totongi ʻa e 2.70% ʻi ha tola siʻi ange. Ko ha lao pē ʻoku ne holoki ʻa e fakakātoa ʻo e peti ʻoku ne holoki ʻa e mole ʻamanekinamatematikaMole ʻamanekinaKo e mahuʻinga ʻamanekina liunga ʻaki ʻa e fakakātoa ʻo e paʻanga naʻe peti ʻaki; ko e ʻavalisi ʻo e paʻanga ʻoku mole ʻi ha taimi vaʻinga pe ha vahaʻa taimi.Lau kotoa → ʻi he vahe tatau tofu pē: ko ha fakangatangata mole, ko ha fakangatangata ikunafoungaFakangatangata ikunaKo ha taumuʻa tupu kuo fokotuʻu ki muʻa ʻa ia te ke fakaʻosi ai ʻa e taimi vaʻinga.Lau kotoa →, ko ha fakangatangata taimi, ko ha lau ʻo e vilo pe ko ha peti siʻi ange pē.

Fili ʻa e ngaahi fika

Ko ha fakangatangata mole ʻo e 20–40% ʻo e patiseti ʻo e taimi vaʻinga ʻoku ne ngaohi ke lava ke kātakiʻi ha pō kovi, kae ʻikai ke fuʻu fāsiʻi ʻo ueʻi ia ʻe he vēlianimatematikaVēlianiKo ha fua ʻo hono mafola ʻo e ngaahi ola takatakai ʻi he mahuʻinga ʻamanekina. Māʻolunga ki he peti fika ʻe taha, māʻulalo ki he ngaahi peti totongi tatau.Lau kotoa → angamaheni ʻi he lahi taha ʻo e ngaahi pō. Ko ha fakangatangata ikuna ʻo e 20–50% ʻo e patiseti ʻoku lava ke aʻu ki ai ʻi ha taimi vaʻinga angamaheni (ʻoku aʻu ʻa e peti totongi tatau ki he +$100 mei he $500 ʻi ha taimi ʻi he meimei konga ʻo e ngaahi taimi vaʻinga ʻo e vilo ʻe 100) kae ʻikai ko ha meʻa siʻisiʻi. ʻOku fakafoʻituitui ʻa e ngaahi fika; ka ʻoku ʻikai fakafoʻituitui ʻa e akonekina ke tohi ʻa kinautolu.

Taimi vaʻinga ʻe hongofulu ʻo e $10; naʻe mei fakaʻosi vave ʻe ha fakangatangata mole ʻo e $100 ʻa e ngaahi taimi vaʻinga naʻe tōola ʻo fakahoa ki he kamataʻanga
+$420$0−$500+$140−$2500125250375500ngaahi viloola
taimi vaʻinga ʻe 1,000 × vilo ʻe 500 · vaioleti p10/p25/p75/p90, pulū maama fika lotoloto (median), sīpinga vaivai ʻe 83 · ʻave ki he kalafi ke sio ki he ngaahi kuanitaila ʻi ha vilo
  • p10 −$460
  • p25 −$300
  • fika lotoloto (median) −$140
  • p75 +$0
  • p90 +$140
taimi vaʻinga ʻe 1,000 × vilo ʻe 500 · kuo kosi ʻa e ʻakisi-y ki he pēsenitaila 1–99 (ngaahi ngataʻanga −$500 ki he +$640) · vilo ʻe 500 · tefito $10 · totongi tatau

Ko e lao ki he ngaahi lao

ʻOku ngāue pē ha lao taʻofi kapau naʻe fili ia ki muʻa ʻi he taimi vaʻinga pea ʻikai toe liliu lolotonga ia. “Toe vilo pē ʻe taha ke u foki ki he tatau” ko e fakangatangata mole ia ʻoku toe alea ki ai ʻe he tokotaha naʻe faʻu ia ke ne maluʻi. Kapau te ke ʻilo ʻoku hoko ia, fakasiʻisiʻi ʻa e peti ʻo ʻikai hiki ʻa e fakangatangata.

Ngaahi fehuʻi

ʻOku ikunaʻi koā ʻe ha fakangatangata ikuna ʻa e kasino?

ʻIkai. ʻOku ne ngaohi ke tuʻo lahi ange ʻa e ngaahi ikuna siʻisiʻi pea tuku ʻa e ʻavalisi ʻi he taimi lōloa ʻi he −2.70% ʻo e meʻa naʻa ke peti.

ʻOku lelei tatau koā ha fakangatangata taimi mo ha fakangatangata mole?

ʻOku ne holoki ʻa e fakakātoa ʻo e peti ʻi he founga tatau pea ʻoku faingofua ange ke tauhi. Ngāueʻaki fakatouʻosi.

Fēfē kapau te u aʻu vave ki he fakangatangata ikuna?

Mavahe. Ko e lao ia. Ko e ngaahi vilo naʻe ʻikai te ke vaʻinga ʻoku ʻikai ha totongi.

Meʻa fakaoli

ʻOku holoki ʻe hono taʻofi ʻa e fakakātoa ʻo e peti. Ko e meʻa pē ia ʻoku ne fai, pea ʻoku feʻunga.

ʻOku holoki ʻe hono taʻofi ʻa e fakakātoa ʻo e peti. Ko e meʻa pē ia ʻoku ne fai, pea ʻoku feʻunga.

Ngaahi Maʻuʻanga

  1. RouletteDoc. Roulette strategies overview. https://roulettedoc.com/strategy
  2. Roulette77. Roulette strategies overview. https://roulette77.us/strategies
  3. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Vahe 13, lulēti.
  4. Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed. Academic Press, 2013.
naʻe vakaiʻi 2026-09-28mōtolo: ʻIulope, noa ʻe tahafounga ngāue ↗ngaahi maʻuʻanga ↗