Fakahinohino Sitepu · Fakahinohino sitepu · miniti ʻe 7

Fakahinohino Sitepu: Ko ha Kaka Fibonacci

Ko e lahi ʻo e peti ʻoku 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13 ki he ʻuliʻulipetiʻUliʻuliPeti totongi tatau ki he fika ʻuliʻuli ʻe 18. Faka-Falanisē: noir.Lau kotoa →, ʻo foki ʻaki ha sitepu ʻe ua hili ha ikuna. Ko ha Martingale māmālie ange, mo e founga ʻoku aʻu mai ai hono tō.

Tali nounou

Ko ha taimi vaʻinga faʻifaʻitaki Fibonacci ʻo e vilo ʻe 90 ʻi he $5 ki he iuniti. Naʻe kakato ʻa e takai ʻe uofulu ʻaki ʻa e $5 taki taha, mo ha hokohoko kovi ʻe taha ki he fika hono hiva (peti ʻo e $170) ʻa ia naʻe mole ai ʻa e taimi vaʻinga ʻaki ʻa e $340. ʻOku faingofua ange ʻi he fakaua kae ʻoua kuo ʻikai.

iuniti
$5 ki he ʻuliʻuli
hokohoko
1 1 2 3 5 8 13 21 34
tō
peti ʻo e $170 ʻi he fika hono hiva
ola
−$340 ʻi he vilo ʻe 90

ʻAlu ʻi he hokohoko

Ko ha mole ʻoku hiki ia ʻaki ha sitepu ʻe taha ki he toʻomataʻu. Ko ha ikuna ʻoku foki ia ʻaki ha sitepu ʻe ua.

11235813213455Mole
peti hoko1ola ki he taimi ni0ngaahi vilo0

ʻOku fua ʻa e ngaahi peti mo e ola ʻaki ʻa e iuniti ʻo e peti tefito.

Ko e palani

Peti ʻaki ʻa e ʻuluaki fika FibonaccifoungaFibonacciFakalakalaka peti ʻoku muimui ki he hokohoko 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13…: sitepu ʻe taha ki muʻa hili ha mole, sitepu ʻe ua ki mui hili ha ikuna.Lau kotoa →, $5. Hili ha mole, ʻalu ʻaki ha sitepu ʻe taha ki toʻomataʻu ʻi he hokohoko. Hili ha ikuna, ʻalu ʻaki ha sitepu ʻe ua ki toʻohema. ʻOku kakato ha takai ʻi he taimi ʻoku mau foki ai ki he kamataʻanga mo tupu ʻaki ha iunitipaʻangaIunitiKo e peti tefito ʻoku ngāueʻaki ʻe ha sisitemi pe ha tokotaha vaʻinga. ʻOku fakamatalaʻi ʻa e ngaahi fakalakalaka peti ʻaki ʻa e iuniti koeʻuhi ke ngāue ʻi ha tēpile pē.Lau kotoa → ʻe taha. ʻI hono fakahoa ki he MartingalefoungaMartingaleFakalakalaka peti ʻoku ne fakaua ʻa e peti hili ʻa e mole takitaha. Vakai ki he konga Ngaahi Founga ki he meʻa ʻoku ne fai mo e meʻa ʻoku ʻikai te ne fai.Lau kotoa → ʻoku tupu ʻa e lahi ʻo e peti ʻaki ʻa e ×1.6 kae ʻikai ko e ×2, ko ia ʻoku mamaʻo ange ʻa e tō pea ʻoku māmālie ange ʻa e kaka ki mui: ʻoku ʻikai fakaʻosi ʻe ha ikuna ʻa e takai, ʻoku foki pē ia.

Vilo 1–40

Takai ʻe hongofulu-mā-taha naʻe kakato, ko e lōloa taha naʻe aʻu ki he fika hono nima ($25). ʻOku maʻu ʻe he takai kakato taki taha ʻa e $5 tofu pē; ʻoku fakafiefia ʻa e lekooti pea naʻe kei siʻisiʻi ʻa e ngaahi peti. Ola kakato +$55. ʻOku ongoʻi hangē ha Martingale kuo toʻo mei ai ʻa e manavahē.

takaihokohokongaahi petiola kakato
1I5+$5
2M I I5, 5, 5 → kakato+$5
3M M I M I I5, 5, 10, 5, 5, 5+$5
4M M M I I I5, 5, 10, 15, 5, 5+$5
5–11lahi taha ko e fika hono 5 ($25)≤ 25+$35
hili ʻa e vilo ʻe 40takai ʻe 11 naʻe kakato+$55

Vilo 41–70

ʻOku toe kakato ʻa e takai ʻe nima ʻi he vilo 60 (+$25). Pea hoko ai ʻa e takai ʻoku ʻikai kakato. M M M M M M M I M M: ngaahi peti 5, 5, 10, 15, 25, 40, 65 (mole ʻe fitu, −$165), ha ikuna ʻi he $105 (+$105, foki ʻaki ha sitepu ʻe ua ki he $40), pea mole ʻe ua ʻi he $40 mo e $65. ʻOku mau ʻi he fika hono valu he taimi ni, $105, mo e −$165 ʻi he takai, pea ko e mole hoko ʻe ʻave kimautolu ki he $170 ʻo fehoanaki mo ha fakangatangata ʻo e tēpiletēpileFakangatangata ʻo e tēpileKo e peti siʻi taha mo e peti lahi taha ʻoku ngofua. Ko e peti lahi taha ʻoku ne taʻofi ʻa e ngaahi fakalakalaka peti fakaua.Lau kotoa → ʻo e $200. Ola kakato ʻo e konga ko ʻeni −$140.

Ko e taimi vaʻinga ko ʻeni mo e hiva ʻoku tatau mo iaola ʻo fakahoa ki he kamataʻanga
+$595$0−$500+$480−$2500125250375500ngaahi viloola
taimi vaʻinga ʻe 1,000 × vilo ʻe 500 · vaioleti p10/p25/p75/p90, pulū maama fika lotoloto (median), sīpinga vaivai ʻe 83 · ʻave ki he kalafi ke sio ki he ngaahi kuanitaila ʻi ha vilo
  • p10 −$500
  • p25 −$500
  • fika lotoloto (median) −$500
  • p75 +$390
  • p90 +$480
taimi vaʻinga ʻe 1,000 × vilo ʻe 500 · kuo kosi ʻa e ʻakisi-y ki he pēsenitaila 1–99 (ngaahi ngataʻanga −$500 ki he +$700) · vilo ʻe 500 · tefito $5 · totongi tatau
Kaka māmālie ange ʻi he Martingale, tō māʻolunga ange mo tōmui ange. Ko e ngaahi laine ʻoku tō, ʻoku nau tō mamaʻo, pea ʻoku nau tō ʻi ha ngaahi vilo kae ʻikai ʻi he vilo ʻe taha.

Ngaahi Fakangatangata ʻo e Tēpile Lulēti

Vilo 71–90

M M: naʻe mole ʻa e $105 pea mo e $170, pea ʻoku tuʻu ʻa e takai ʻi he −$440. Ko e peti hoko ko e $275, ʻoku laka ʻi he fakangatangata, ko ia ʻi he vilo 72 ʻoku mau liʻaki ʻa e takai pea kamata foʻou ʻi he $5. Ko e tō ia. Ko e vilo ʻe hongofulu-mā-valu ʻoku toe ʻoku nau fakakakato ha takai ʻe fā. Ola fakaʻosi −$340; ko e tuʻunga māʻulalo taha ʻo e paʻanga vaʻingapaʻangaPaʻanga vaʻingaKo e fakakātoa ʻo e paʻanga kuo vahe ke vaʻinga ʻaki. Ko e puleʻi ʻo e paʻanga vaʻinga ko e fili pe ko e hā hono lahi ʻoku tuku ki he fakatuʻutāmaki ʻi he peti takitaha mo e taimi vaʻinga takitaha.Lau kotoa → ko e −$360.

ʻOku tupu ʻa e ngaahi peti ʻaki ʻa e 1.6 nai hili ʻa e mole taki taha; ʻi he sitepu hono valu ʻoku ʻikai toe ngata ʻa e peti hoko ʻi lalo ʻi he fakangatangata.

Ko e ngaahi fakamatala paʻanga

Ko e fakakātoa ʻo e peti ko e $1,200 nai ʻo fehoanaki mo e $450 ʻi he peti tatau. Ko e mole ʻamanekinamatematikaMole ʻamanekinaKo e mahuʻinga ʻamanekina liunga ʻaki ʻa e fakakātoa ʻo e paʻanga naʻe peti ʻaki; ko e ʻavalisi ʻo e paʻanga ʻoku mole ʻi ha taimi vaʻinga pe ha vahaʻa taimi.Lau kotoa → ʻi he $1,200 ko e $32; ko e ola moʻoni −$340 ʻoku meimei mavahe fakasitanatematematikaMavahe fakasitanateAka ua ʻo e vēliani; ko e mamaʻo angamaheni ʻo ha ola mei he mahuʻinga ʻamanekina.Lau kotoa → ʻe taha mo e konga ʻi lalo, ko ha taimi vaʻinga kovi, pea ko e faʻahinga taimi vaʻinga ʻoku meimei tuʻo taha ʻi he nima ʻoku hoko ai ʻi he Fibonacci ʻi he lōloa ko ʻeni. Naʻe totongi ʻe he takai kakato taki taha ʻa e $5; naʻe fakamole ʻe he takai kovi ʻa e valungofulu-mā-valu ʻo kinautolu.

Ko e meʻa ʻoku fakahā ʻe he taimi vaʻinga

ʻOku mafola ʻe he Fibonacci ʻa e tō ʻo e Martingale ʻi ha ngaahi vilo pea teke ia ke mamaʻo ange, ʻa ia ʻoku ne ʻai ia ke malu ange pea kākā ange: ʻoku hā fakapotopoto ʻa e hokohoko ʻo e ngaahi peti ʻo aʻu ki he taha ʻoku ʻikai. ʻOku ʻikai liliu ʻa e mole ʻamanekina ki he tola; ko e fakakātoa ʻo e petipaʻangaFakakātoa ʻo e petiKo e fakakātoa ʻo e paʻanga naʻe peti ʻaki ʻi ha taimi vaʻinga pe vahaʻa taimi, kau ai ʻa e paʻanga naʻe ikunaʻi kuo toe peti ʻaki. ʻOku toe ui: handle, action.Lau kotoa → lahi ange mei he kaka ko e feituʻu ia ʻoku ʻalu ki ai ʻa e paʻanga.

Ngaahi fehuʻi

Ko e hā ʻoku foki ai ʻaki ha sitepu ʻe ua hili ha ikuna?

Koeʻuhi ko ha ikuna ʻi he fika n ʻoku ne toe maʻu mai ʻa e ngaahi mole ʻi he fika n−1 mo e n−2, ʻa ia ʻoku na tānaki ki ai. Kuo langa ʻa e hokohoko maʻa e lao ko ʻeni.

ʻOku malu ange ʻeni ʻi he Martingale?

ʻOku siʻi ange ʻa e peti lahi taha ki he lahi tatau ʻo e ngaahi mole, ko ia ʻio, ʻi he ʻuhinga ʻo ha tō tōmui ange. ʻOku tatau tofu pē ʻa e ʻamanekina.

Ko e fē ʻa e ʻuluaki fika ʻoku laka ʻi ha fakangatangata ʻo e $500?

Ko hono hongofulu-mā-ua ʻi ha iuniti ʻo e $5: 5, 5, 10, 15, 25, 40, 65, 105, 170, 275, 445, pea 720.

Meʻa fakaoli

Ko e vahevahe koula ko e 1.618. Ko e tuʻunga lelei ʻo e kasino ʻoku kei 2.70%.

Ko e vahevahe koula ko e 1.618. Ko e tuʻunga lelei ʻo e kasino ʻoku kei 2.70%.

Ngaahi Maʻuʻanga

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Vahe 13, lulēti.
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