Ngaahi Tui Hala · Anga fakafonua · miniti ʻe 7

Ngaahi Fika Monūʻia mo e Ngaahi Tui Fakaʻotua Loi ʻi he Lulēti

Ko e 17 monūʻia, ko e 13 taʻemonūʻia, ko hono ifi ʻo e ngaahi sipi, ʻikai ʻaupito lea ʻaki ʻa e “noa”, pea ko e hā ʻoku mālohi taha ai ʻa e ngaahi tui fakaʻotua loi ʻo ha vaʻinga taʻefakataumuʻa.

Tali nounou

Kuo tānaki ʻe he lulēti ʻa e ngaahi tōʻonga ʻo ha senituli ʻe ua: ngaahi fika ʻoku saiʻia ai, ngaahi lea tapu, ngaahi nofoʻanga mo e kau tīla monūʻia, mo e tui ʻoku liliu ʻe he tokanga ʻa e ngaahi ola. ʻOku ʻikai ueʻi ʻe ha taha ʻa e veʻeteka; ʻoku fakaʻofoʻofa kotoa ʻi he meʻa ʻoku nau fakahā ki he kakai, pea ʻoku ʻaonga ha niʻihi ke tauhi ai ha patiseti.

fika ʻoku peti lahi taha ki ai
17
fika ʻoku peti siʻi taha ki ai
13 (ʻi he Hihifo)
tōʻonga motuʻa taha
ala ki he peti
ola ki he veʻeteka
ʻikai

Ngaahi fika monūʻia ʻi he lulēti

Ko e hongofulu-mā-fitu ʻa e fika ʻoku peti lahi taha ki ai ʻi he veʻeteka kotoa pē ʻi he māmani: ko e lotoloto ia ʻo e palani ʻo e tēpilemeʻangāuePalani ʻo e tēpileKo e palani peti kuo paaki ʻi he tēpile. ʻOku toe ui: tēpile, felt, cloth.Lau kotoa →, ko e fika ia ʻa Sean Connery ʻi ha ikuna naʻe lahi hono fakamatalaʻi ʻi Saint-Vincent ʻi he 1963 (tuʻo tolu hokohoko ʻi he 35:1, ʻo hangē ko e talanoa), pea ʻoku ʻi he lotoloto ia ʻo e Voisins. ʻOku fakamamaʻo mei he hongofulu-mā-tolu ʻi he Hihifo pea kumi ki ai ʻi ha ngaahi konga ʻo ʻĪtali. ʻOku saiʻia ʻa e kau vaʻinga Siaina ʻi he valu pea fakamamaʻo mei he 4. ʻOku ʻomai ʻe he ngaahi ʻaho fāʻeleʻi ʻa e lahi taha ʻo e toenga, ko ia ʻoku peti lahi ange ai ki he 1–31 ʻi he 32–36. ʻOku ʻikai ha fika lulēti lelei taha: ʻoku tatau ʻa e ngalingali ʻo e fika kotoa pē, pea ʻoku totongi ʻe he veʻeteka ʻa e 35:1 ki he kotoa.

fikaʻuhingafeituʻu
17lotoloto ʻo e palani ʻo e tēpile; talanoa ʻo Connery; Voisinsʻi he feituʻu kotoa pē
13taʻemonūʻia ʻi he Hihifo; monūʻia ʻi ʻĪtalifakamamaʻo mei ai pe kumi ki ai ʻo fakatatau ki he feituʻu
8ʻoku ongo hangē ko e “tupulaki” ʻi he lea faka-SiainaMakau, Singapoa, kau vaʻinga ʻĒsia
4ʻoku ongo hangē ko e “mate” ʻi he lea faka-Siainafakamamaʻo mei ai ʻi he ngaahi maketi tatau
7monūʻia ʻi he tukufakaholo ʻo e Hihifoʻi he feituʻu kotoa pē
0“ko e fika ʻa e kasino”peti ki ai ko ha ʻinisuaʻanse, pe fakamamaʻo mei ai ko e taʻemonūʻia
1–31ngaahi ʻaho fāʻeleʻi mo e ngaahi faiʻahoʻi he feituʻu kotoa pē; ʻoku siʻi ʻa e peti ki he 32–36

Peti Voisins du Zéro ʻi he LulētiPalopalema: Ko e Veʻeteka ʻAho Fāʻeleʻi

Ngaahi tōʻonga

Ifi ʻa e ngaahi sipipaʻangaSipiKo ha fakaʻilonga ʻoku fakafofongaʻi ha paʻanga paʻu, ʻoku tuku ki he palani ʻo e tēpile ke fai ʻaki ha peti. ʻOku toe ui: check.Lau kotoa →, ala ki he peti hili hono tuku, tuku ʻa e ngaahi sipi ʻi ha hokohoko pau, ʻikai sio ki he pulumeʻangāuePuluKo e kiʻi pulu siʻisiʻi ʻoku tolongi ʻi he hala ʻo fehangahangai mo e konga vilo. Ko e ngaahi pulu ʻo onopooni ʻoku ngaohi ʻaki ʻa e ivorine pe Teflon, 18–21 mm.Lau kotoa →, sio ki he pulu, ʻikai lea lolotonga ʻa e vilo, lea “haʻu kulokulapetiKulokulaPeti totongi tatau ki he fika kulokula ʻe 18. Faka-Falanisē: rouge.Lau kotoa →” lolotonga ʻa e vilo. ʻOku sio ʻa e kau tīla ki he kotoa pea ʻoku ʻi ai ʻenau meʻa ʻanautolu: ʻoku ʻikai lea leʻo lahi ʻa e niʻihi ʻaki ʻa e foʻi lea “noaveʻetekaNoaKo e luo lanu mata pē ʻe taha ʻoku ʻikai kāpui ʻe ha peti totongi tatau, peti tasini pe peti kōlomu; ko e tupuʻanga ia ʻo e tuʻunga lelei ʻo e kasino. ʻOku toe ui: noa ʻe taha, 0.Lau kotoa →” kimuʻa ʻi ha vilo, ʻoku lī ʻe he niʻihi mei ha tuʻuʻanga vaʻe pau. ʻOku ʻikai liliu ʻe ha taha ʻa e fisiki. ʻOku liliu ʻe ha niʻihi ʻa e tokotaha vaʻinga: ʻoku fakamāmālieʻi ʻe ha tōʻonga ʻa e takai pea ʻai ʻa e peti ke fai fakakaukau, ʻa ia ʻoku ʻikai ha kovi ai pea ʻaonga ʻi he taimi ʻe niʻihi.

Kau Tīla ki he Ngaahi Sisitemi

Kau tīla, nofoʻanga mo e tēpile monūʻia

ʻOku muimui ʻa e kau vaʻinga ki he kau tīla naʻa nau ikuna mo kinautolu, nofo ʻi he nofoʻanga naʻa nau monūʻia ai, pea fakamamaʻo mei he ngaahi tēpile naʻa nau mole ai. ʻOku fetongi ʻe he ngaahi kasino ʻa e kau tīla pea ʻilo ʻa e ngaahi nofoʻanga “monūʻia” (ko e ngaahi nofoʻanga ofi taha ki he palani ʻo e tēpile, ʻa ia ʻoku nofo lahi taha ai ʻa e kakai pea ko ia ʻoku ikuna lahi taha ai ʻi he fika kakato). Ko e fakakaukau ʻo e fakaʻilonga ʻo e tīla ʻi he Lēpi ko e kāinga fakaʻapaʻapaʻi ia ʻo e “tīla monūʻia”, pea naʻa mo ia kuo ʻikai moʻui hili hono siviʻi.

Ko e faʻa peti ki he fika taki taha, ʻi hono fakahoa ki he ʻavalisi (fakatātā)× ʻavalisi
17
≈ 2.2×
7
≈ 1.6×
8 (ngaahi maketi ʻĒsia)
≈ 1.8×
23, 24
≈ 1.3×
32–36
≈ 0.6×
13 (ngaahi maketi Hihifo)
≈ 0.5×
× ʻavalisi
01.10≈ 2.2×
ʻOku kehekehe ʻa e ngaahi sio ʻi he fungavaka ʻo e kasino; ʻoku tatau ʻa e fōtunga. Ko e totongi ʻi he laine kotoa pē ko e 35:1 pea ko e ngalingali ko e 1/37.

Fakaʻilonga ʻo e Tīla Lulēti

Ko e hā ʻoku tupu lahi ai ʻa e ngaahi tui fakaʻotua loi ʻi heni

Ko e ngaahi ola taʻefakataumuʻa mo e peti lalahi ko e feituʻu ia ʻoku tupu vave taha ai ʻa e tui fakaʻotua loi: ʻoku ʻikai ha poto ke ako, ko ia ʻoku ʻomai ʻe he ʻatamai ha ngaahi tōʻonga ke fetongi ia, pea ʻoku fakapapauʻi ʻe he ikuna kotoa pē ha meʻa pē naʻe fai kimuʻa ai. Naʻe fakatupu ʻe Skinner ʻa e ola tatau ʻi he ngaahi lupe ʻaki ha meʻa fafanga ʻoku ngāue ʻi ha taimi pau. Ko e lulēti ko ha meʻa fafanga ia ʻoku ngāue ʻi ha taimi pau mo ha lao ki he vala.

ʻOku tukuange ʻe he meʻa fafanga ʻa Skinner ʻoku ngāue ʻi ha taimi pau ʻa e ngaahi foʻi tenga, pea ʻoku toe fai ʻe he lupe taki taha ʻa hono tōʻonga ʻoʻona.

Ko e tui fakaʻotua loi pē ʻe taha ʻoku mahuʻinga ke tauhi

Ko e kau vaʻinga ʻoku pehē ʻoku nau “ʻikai ʻaupito tuli ʻa e mole” pea lau ha poʻuli mole ko ha fakaʻilonga ke mavahe ʻoku ʻi ai ʻenau tui fakaʻotua loi ʻoku hoko ʻo tatau mo e matematika. Tauhi ʻa e taha ko ia. Ko e toenga, kau ai ʻa e ngaahi fika monūʻia ʻi he lulēti, ʻoku taʻetotongi, ʻikai ha kovi ai pea ʻoku ʻikai tala atu ha meʻa ki he vilo hoko.

Ngaahi fehuʻi

ʻOku liliu ha meʻa ʻi hono peti ki ha fika ʻoku manakoa?

ʻIkai ko e faingamālie. ʻI he ʻinitaneti, ʻikai ha meʻa ʻe taha. ʻI ha fungavaka kasino, ko ha fika manakoa ʻoku ʻuhinga ia ki ha nima lahi ange ʻoku mafao ki he puha tatau.

Naʻe taumuʻaʻi moʻoni ʻe Connery ʻa e 17 ʻo tuʻo tolu?

Naʻe lahi hono fakamatalaʻi; naʻe fakapapauʻi ʻe he kasino ʻi Saint-Vincent ha ikuna lahi. Ko e tolu hokohoko ʻi he 1/37 taki taha ko e 1 ʻi he 50,653, ʻa ia kuo hoko ki ha kakai tokolahi talu mei ai.

ʻOku taʻemonūʻia ʻa e noa?

Ko e tuʻunga lelei ʻo e kasinomatematikaTuʻunga lelei ʻo e kasinoKo e konga ʻo e peti takitaha ʻoku tauhi ʻe he kasino ʻi he ʻavalisi: 2.70% ʻi he lulēti ʻIulope.Lau kotoa → ia, ʻa ia ko e taʻemonūʻia ʻi he ʻuhinga pau ʻo e 2.70%.

Meʻa fakaoli

ʻOku fakapapauʻi ʻe he ikuna kotoa pē ha meʻa pē naʻa ke fai kimuʻa ai.

ʻOku fakapapauʻi ʻe he ikuna kotoa pē ha meʻa pē naʻa ke fai kimuʻa ai.

Ngaahi Maʻuʻanga

  1. Skinner, B. F. “‘Superstition’ in the pigeon.” Journal of Experimental Psychology 38, 1948.
  2. Schwartz, D. G. Roll the Bones: The History of Gambling. Gotham, 2006.
  3. Wykes, A. The Complete Illustrated Guide to Gambling. Doubleday, 1964.
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