Meʻangāue · Meʻa fika

Meʻa Fika ki he Fakatuʻutāmaki ke ʻOsi ʻa e Paʻanga

Ko e ngalingali ke aʻu ki ha taumuʻa tupu kimuʻa pea ʻosi ʻa e paʻanga vaʻinga, ʻi he peti tatau ki he peti totongi tatau.

Paʻanga vaʻinga
Peti
Taumuʻa
aʻu ki he taumuʻa
24.6%
ʻosi ʻa e paʻanga ʻuluaki
75.4%
taumuʻa
+$250
iuniti (a / b)
50 / 25
ngaahi vilo ʻamanekina ke ʻosi
1,168
EV ʻo e feinga
−$315.70
Lau ʻo e ola

ʻI hoʻo peti ʻaki ʻa e $10 ʻi he taimi, ʻoku ʻi ai hoʻo faingamālie ʻe 24.6% ke liliu ʻa e $500 ki he $750 kimuʻa pea ʻosi hoʻo paʻanga. ʻOku hiki ʻe he peti lalahi ange ʻa e ngalingali ko ia, he ko e siʻi ange ʻa e vilo ko e siʻi ange ia ʻa e totongi ʻo e 2.70%; ka ʻoku toe fakaʻulia ange ai ʻa e fononga. Feinga ʻa e peti ʻo e $100 mo e peti ʻo e $5 ke sio ki he ola.

Founga mo e ngaahi fakakaukau tefito
Fakaʻauha ʻo e tokotaha peti (gambler’s ruin) mo e p = 18/37: P(taumuʻa) = (1 − (q/p)ᵃ)/(1 − (q/p)ᵃ⁺ᵇ), a = paʻanga vaʻinga/peti, b = taumuʻa/peti. Fuoloa ʻamanekina a/(q−p) − (a+b)·P/(q−p). Peti tatau pē ki he peti totongi tatau.